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Five-year fixed rate mortgages hit hard – London Wallet

Mark Helprin by Mark Helprin
December 10, 2024
in Real Estate
Five-year fixed rate mortgages hit hard – London Wallet
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The average five-year fixed mortgage has felt its biggest monthly rise since August 2023. Since the start of 2024, this average has not dropped as much as its two-year counterpart, the latest Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report reveals.

The latest data shows that average mortgage rates on the overall two- and five-year fixed rates rose by 0.13% and 0.19% to 5.52% and 5.28% respectively. It was the biggest monthly rise to the five-year fixed average rate since August 2023.

At the start of January 2024, the average five-year fixed rate was 5.55%; compared to the start of this month, the rate is now 0.27% lower at 5.28%. However, the average two-year fixed rate has dropped by 0.41% over the same period, down from 5.93% to 5.52%.

The average two-year fixed rate is 0.24% higher than the five-year equivalent, compared to 0.30% a month prior. The two-year fixed rate has now been higher than the five-year equivalent since October 2022.

The average two-year tracker variable mortgage rate fell to 5.46%.

The average ‘revert to’ rate or Standard Variable Rate (SVR) fell to 7.85%. In comparison, the highest recorded was 8.19% during November and December 2023.

Product choice overall rose month-on-month, to 6,486 options, the biggest month-on-month increase since June 2024. Product numbers are substantially higher than a year ago (5,694).

The availability of deals at the 95% loan-to-value tier rose to 365 now at its highest point in over two years (369 – May 2022).

The average shelf-life of a mortgage product rose to 21 days, up from 17 days a month prior.

Mortgage market analysis
Dec-22 Dec-23 Jun-24 Nov-24 Dec-24
Fixed and variable rate products Total product count – all LTVs 3,730 5,694 6,629 6,402 6,486
Product count – 95% LTV 144 253 353 358 365
Product count – 90% LTV 457 718 792 748 762
Product count – 60% LTV 500 623 733 758 778
All products Shelf-life (days) 17 17 15 17 21
All LTVs Average two-year fixed rate 6.01% 6.04% 5.93% 5.39% 5.52%
Average five-year fixed rate 5.80% 5.65% 5.50% 5.09% 5.28%
95% LTV Average two-year fixed rate 6.26% 6.34% 6.20% 5.83% 5.92%
Average five-year fixed rate 5.95% 5.73% 5.73% 5.40% 5.53%
90% LTV Average two-year fixed rate 6.07% 6.01% 6.15% 5.70% 5.80%
Average five-year fixed rate 5.76% 5.71% 5.61% 5.24% 5.40%
60% LTV Average two-year fixed rate 5.73% 5.59% 5.45% 4.86% 5.04%
Average five-year fixed rate 5.55% 5.20% 5.06% 4.66% 4.86%
All LTVs Standard Variable Rate (SVR) 6.40% 8.19% 8.18% 7.95% 7.85%
All LTVs Average two-year tracker rate 4.03% 6.16% 5.94% 5.71% 5.46%
Data shown is as at the first available day of the month, unless stated otherwise.
Source: Moneyfacts Treasury Reports

Rachel Springall, finance commentator at Moneyfacts, said: “In a somewhat inevitable turn of events, fixed mortgage rates rose month-on-month as lenders rushed to re-price products due to volatile swap rates. This month the average five-year fixed rate felt a notable monthly rise, and during 2024 the rate has not fallen as much as its two-year counterpart. This will come as disappointing news to those borrowers who prefer to lock into a deal for the longer-term. On the other end of the spectrum, both the average two-year tracker rate and Standard Variable Rate (SVR) fell in the aftermath of the Bank of England base rate cut. However, borrowers would be wise not to stick on their revert rate, as these are still charging much more than their fixed rate counterparts. There are estimated to be millions of borrowers who have not yet re-fixed their mortgage since rates started to rise in 2021, so seeking advice is wise. Those who locked into a five-year fixed deal back in 2019 on average would have been charged 2.74%, but that rate has almost doubled, now 5.28%.

“One positive outcome of November was a slight uptick in product availability, and a calming in the average shelf-life of a mortgage, which rose from 17 days to 21 days. This indicates that lenders are not re-pricing or pulling deals as aggressively as they were during October. However, lenders will now need to grapple with any future uncertainty surrounding interest rate pricing while aiming to hit any year-end targets. Borrowers will hope that mortgage rates will drop next year, and while there is speculation over multiple cuts to the Bank of England base rate, stubborn inflation can delay such decisions. In addition, the present market proves that a base rate cut does not always mean fixed mortgage rates will immediately fall if there are other economic challenges in play for lenders to consider.

“First-time buyers may well be struggling to amass a large enough deposit to get their foot onto the property ladder, but in good news the number of deals at 95% loan-to-value now stands at its highest point in over two years. However, the market could always do with more product innovation to help those struggling to get a mortgage. Those stuck paying rent may feel their homeownership dreams are scuppered because of the lack of affordable housing, which will take time to improve. As we move into 2025, it will be interesting to see how lenders will balance supporting their existing customers and enticing new business as the future of interest rates remains unpredictable.”

 





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