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Early estimates for the 2025 Social Security COLA
New government data points to a 2.4% Social Security cost-of-living adjustment for 2025, The Senior Citizens League estimates, based on new government inflation data released this week.
To be sure, that estimate is subject to change. The Social Security Administration typically announces the cost-of-living adjustment for the following year in October.
The annual adjustment is calculated using third quarter data from a subset of the consumer price index, the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W. As of February, the CPI-W increased 3.1% over the past 12 months.
“This is way early,” Johnson said. “It will change multiple times since the COLA is on the average inflation in the third quarter of the year against the previous year.”
“A lot can happen between now and then,” she said.
In the meantime, experts say there are steps retirees can take to help compensate for the prospect of lower benefit increases.
Make the most of your cash
While inflation is coming down, interest rates savers can earn on their cash are still the highest they’ve been in years.
For retirees who have extra money in their monthly budget, it can be helpful to set those sums aside to help prepare for unexpected expenses that may crop up later, Johnson said.
Online savings accounts are offering higher returns on cash. Certificates of deposit also provide a way to guarantee a certain return over a short- or long-term period even as interest rates come down.
With inflation still elevated, it also helps to limit fixed expenses, as well as try to find ways to cut and save, said Lisa Featherngill, a certified financial planner and director of wealth planning at Comerica Wealth Management in Winston-Salem, North Carolina.
“We highly suggest that people in retirement do an annual cash flow projection,” Featherngill said.
That can help identify any difference between expected income and expenses
To make up the difference, retirees may use investment income, if they have it, or find other ways of cutting spending or generating returns on their cash, she said.
Consider other sources of fixed income
For the average American, Social Security replaces about 40% of the income they received while working, said Kelly LaVigne, vice president of consumer insights at Allianz Life, which specializes in annuities and life insurance.
“You’ve got to get that other 60% from somewhere,” LaVigne said.
It helps to invest your savings to grow for the future when you need to withdraw from that money, he said.
Consult with a financial advisor
Before purchasing an annuity or other retirement income strategy, it helps to consult with a professional.
“Having a really good financial advisor is the first step,” Featherngill said.
Many financial advisors are licensed to sell annuities. Ideally, they will not be dedicated to one company’s products and can shop around to find the best deal for you, she said.
Importantly, they can also look at your overall financial situation to evaluate whether an annuity is the right decision for you, or whether other strategies may better help you in retirement.
“The most important thing when you’re choosing a financial advisor is to choose someone who is you’re comfortable with,” LaVigne said.
To accomplish that, it helps to talk to several professionals before selecting one.
“You have to interview them for the job,” LaVigne said, and find someone whose style works for you.
Retirees who have lower incomes may be able to find more information from their local senior centers and other community resources, Johnson suggested.
