It’s not just gold that has broken out – copper prices have also broken out on their chart, resolving a long-term basing phase to the upside after several months of backing and filling. The base breakout, above former resistance near $3.97/lb., supports a turnaround phase for copper and copper mining stocks, many of which have breakouts of their own. The Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX) offers investors a liquid, cost-effective way to get broad-based exposure to copper mining stocks. The ETF is by far the largest copper-related ETF, with ~$1.52 billion in assets. COPX offers balanced exposure copper miners, with no one stock making up more than 6% of the ETF. It has an expense ratio of 0.65%, which is justified given the amount of international exposure required. Canada makes up the biggest percentage of the ETF at nearly 37%, and the U.S. is second with just above 10%. COPX has broken out from a long-term triangle consolidation pattern that goes back to early 2022. The breakout is a bullish intermediate-term development, targeting the 2021 high near $47.00. COPX shows no signs of upside exhaustion per our overbought/oversold metrics, suggesting near-term upside follow-through is likely in the wake of the breakout. The breakout in absolute terms is shared by a breakout in relative terms, noting the ratio of COPX to the S & P 500 has cleared the 200-day (~40-week) moving average. The breakout in the ratio supports intermediate-term outperformance from COPX relative to the broader equity market. The ratio has a trading range in place that goes back to 2021, however, supporting a neutral relative strength bias from a long-term perspective. A monthly bar chart of COPX suggests that a secular uptrend is in place above the monthly cloud model, which is the shaded area on the chart. The recent breakout is associated with a bullish upturn in the monthly stochastics, which suggests that the monthly MACD (moving average convergence/divergence) is likely going to shift back onto a “buy” signal for the first time since 2020. Improvement in the monthly indicators suggests that copper and COPX’s triangle breakouts have bullish long-term implications. —Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . DISCLOSURES: (None) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY . THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. THE CONTENT IS GENERAL IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REFLECT ANY INDIVIDUAL’S UNIQUE PERSONAL CIRCUMSTANCES. THE ABOVE CONTENT MIGHT NOT BE SUITABLE FOR YOUR PARTICULAR CIRCUMSTANCES. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR. Click here for the full disclaimer. Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC (“Fairlead Strategies”) for informational purposes only. This material is for illustration and discussion purposes and not intended to be, nor construed as, financial, legal, tax or investment advice. You should consult appropriate advisors concerning such matters. This material presents information through the date indicated, reflecting the author’s current expectations, and is subject to revision by the author, though the author is under no obligation to do so. This material may contain commentary on broad-based indices, market conditions, different types of securities, and cryptocurrencies, using the discipline of technical analysis, which evaluates the demand and supply based on market pricing. The views expressed herein are solely those of the author. This material should not be construed as a recommendation, or advice or an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any investment. The information is not intended to provide a basis on which you could make an investment decision on any particular security or its issuer. This document is intended for CNBC Pro subscribers only and is not for distribution to the general public. Certain information has been provided by and/or is based on third party sources and, although such information is believed to be reliable, no representation is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of such information. This information may be subject to change without notice. Fairlead Strategies undertakes no obligation to maintain or update this material based on subsequent information and events or to provide you with any additional or supplemental information or any update to or correction of the information contained herein. Fairlead Strategies, its officers, employees, affiliates and partners shall not be liable to any person in any way whatsoever for any losses, costs, or claims for your reliance on this material. Nothing herein is, or shall be relied on as, a promise or representation as to future performance. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. Opinions expressed in this material may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed, or actions taken, by Fairlead Strategies or its affiliates, or their respective officers, directors, or employees. In addition, any opinions and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change and/or withdrawal without notice. Fairlead Strategies or its affiliates may have positions in financial instruments mentioned, may have acquired such positions at prices no longer available, and may have interests different from or adverse to your interests or inconsistent with the advice herein. Any investments made are made under the same terms as nonaffiliated investors and do not constitute a controlling interest. No liability is accepted by Fairlead Strategies, its officers, employees, affiliates, or partners for any losses that may arise from any use of the information contained herein. Any financial instruments mentioned herein are speculative in nature and may involve risk to principal and interest. Any prices or levels shown are either historical or purely indicative. This material does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial circumstances, objectives or needs of any specific investor, and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, investment products, or other financial products or strategies to particular clients. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. The material should not be provided to any person in a jurisdiction where its provision or use would be contrary to local laws, rules, or regulations. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
