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Tesla (TSLA) releases Q4 delivery results: confirms decline in sales is accelerating

Robert Frost by Robert Frost
January 2, 2026
in Industries
Tesla (TSLA) releases Q4 delivery results: confirms decline in sales is accelerating
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Tesla (TSLA) has released its Q4 2025 and full-year 2025 delivery and production results. The results confirmed that Tesla had its second consecutive full year of decline in electric vehicle deliveries.

And the decline is accelerating.

For a decade, Tesla had incredible growth in electric vehicle deliveries. In 2023, it peaked at 1.81 million vehicles delivered.

In 2024, with an aging lineup and more competition, especially in Europe, Tesla posted its first year-over-year decline, with 1.79 million vehicles.

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After a rough start to 2025 with an even steeper drop in deliveries due to brand issues on top of even tougher competition, especially in Europe and China, it looked likely that Tesla would face another year-over-year decline in deliveries in 2025.

In fact, Tesla needed to report 571,324 vehicles delivered in Q4 2025 in order ot avoid a full-year decline.

As we reported earlier this week, Tesla did something unusual, and it released its own company-compiled analysis consensus publicly for Q4 deliveries, which stood at 422,850 deliveries, something it had never done before.

The consensus Tesla compiled from 20 analysts and shared publicly was much lower than other public consensus, which was in the 440,000 to 450,000 vehicle range.

Tesla Q4 2025 Delivery and Production Results

Today, Tesla released its Q4 2025 and full-year 2025 delivery and production results. Here are the results for Q4:

  Production Deliveries Subject to operating lease accounting
Model 3/Y 422,652 406,585 3%
Other Models 11,706 11,642 5%
Total 434,358 418,227 3%

Year-over-year, it represents a 15% drop in deliveries compared to Q4 2025.

Tesla Full-Year 2025 Delivery and Production Results

Here are Tesla’s delivery and production results for the full year 2025:

  Production Deliveries  
Model 3/Y 1,600,767 1,585,279  
Other Models 53,900 50,850  
Total 1,654,667 1,636,129

It represents a 9% drop in deliveries year-over-year compared to 2024.

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Electrek’s Take

This is pretty much exactly what we expected: a 15% drop year-over-year and a quarter-over-quarter as Tesla loses incentives in the US and its decline in Europe and China continues.

Tesla did report of 14.2 GWh of energy storage deployment, a new record. It’s a silverlining, but it won’t be enough to compensate for the significant drop in electric vehicle deliveries.

Tesla will end 2025 with a second consecutive year of decline in revenue and earnings despite being a “leader” in the globally booming EV market.

There’s room for concern: unless you 100% believe in Musk’s pivot to AI. Then, you have nothing to worry about.

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