Morgan Stanley sees a rosy outlook ahead for QXO . The bank initiated shares of the building products distributor with an overweight rating. Analyst Christopher Snyder’s $35 per share price target implies upside of nearly 74% ahead. Snyder noted the highly fragmented U.S. industrial distribution business, which he said was “ripe for consolidation.” The industry has an $800 billion total addressable market, and yet no single player has market share in the mid-single digits, leading to a “significant” growth opportunity. He said the company is a “$50B Pound Gorilla,” as it “consolidates its way” to more than $50 billion in revenue. The analyst also applauded QXO’s business playbook, which Chairman and CEO Brad Jacobs has used to outperform the broader market and in past ventures. QXO YTD mountain QXO YTD chart “QXO creates value by buying distributors at a material discount to its own valuation and then uses its scale to leverage investment in Technology + best practices to improve the performance of acquired businesses,” Snyder wrote. “Our math suggests that QXO can increase the equity value of a target by ~125% in the first 5yrs post acquisition, equating to an annualized ~25% IRR [internal rate of return] — truly a differentiated source of value creation across U.S. Industrials.” QXO could also stand to benefit from the current macro backdrop, including policies shifting more investments into the U.S. Tariffs would also raise industry prices, translating to higher profits for QXO, the analyst said. “While the QXO value creation opportunity is not cycle dependent, it [is] always helpful,” Snyder added. “After U.S. construction stagnated in 2023-25 on higher rates, we are beginning to see signs of cycle momentum and potential NTM rate cuts would further aid the recovery into 2026.” Shares of QXO have rallied 27% this year. Analysts are bullish on QXO, with all 10 of those covering the stock rating it a buy or strong buy, per LSEG.
