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UBS upgrades this HVAC stock, says it can benefit from AI push

Chaim Potok by Chaim Potok
November 19, 2024
in Investing
UBS upgrades this HVAC stock, says it can benefit from AI push
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It’s time to buy shares of HVAC company Comfort Systems , according to UBS. Analyst Joshua Chan upgraded shares to buy from neutral and increased his price target by $129 to $525, which reflects more than 16% upside from Monday’s close. Chan pointed to tailwinds in tech from artificial intelligence demand and in manufacturing from reshoring, with both making up a combined 60% of the company’s revenue. As a result, he sees continued double-digit organic growth – specifically, at least between 10% and 11% – over the next two years. “Datacenter demand is expected to grow for years to come, with the ‘Big 4′ hyperscalers alone spending an estimated $69-82B on datacenters in 2024E and $93-108B in 2025E,” the analyst wrote in a Tuesday note to clients. “This will drive continued strong growth in FIX’s datacenter business (currently $1.3-1.4B).” “We also expect Manufacturing to benefit from reshoring and an increased emphasis on U.S. manufacturing capabilities, with Manufacturing construction spend now 19% of [nonresidential] construction, nearly doubling from 10% in 2019,” he added. On top of this, Chan expects the company to sustain its EBIT margins of about 10% heading into next year as well as in 2026 as a result of a strong demand backdrop and a “constrained” labor environment. “Notably, nonresidential construction spending and manufacturing construction spending have increased 89% and 207%, respectively, since the start of 2015,” he said. “However, payrolls for Plumbing/HVAC contractors and electrical contractors have only increased 39% and 37%, respectively, over the same timeframe.” Wall Street is split on the name. Among the six analysts covering it, three have a strong buy or buy rating, while the other three have a hold rating, per LSEG. Meanwhile, its average target reflects marginal downside. FIX YTD mountain FIX, year-to-date Shares rose nearly 1% in the premarket after UBS’ upgrade. The stock has already had a monstrous rally this year, with shares advancing more than 119%.



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