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What is currently happening in the UK property market? – London Wallet

Mark Helprin by Mark Helprin
February 14, 2025
in Real Estate
What is currently happening in the UK property market? – London Wallet
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Welcome to the fifth UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025, which features the awesome Kristian Stott, as we delve into the key property market headlines for the ending 9 February 2025.

 

UK Property Market In-Depth Analysis for this week (Week 5):

Listings (New Properties on the Market)

36.5k new listings this week (last week 35.9k)

That’s 11% higher than Week 5 of 2024 YTD and 11% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19.

Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock)

21.5k Price Reductions this week – meaning an approximately run rate of 1 in 8 of resi sales stock per month is being reduced (12%).

For comparison, 11.9% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%.

+ Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales)

27k UK homes sold STC this week, down from 27.5k last week in Week 4

That’s 24% higher YTD compared to 2024 and 33% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels.

Sale-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears)

January’s Run rate of 15% of Resi stock sold stc. For comparison, 13.9% of residential sales stock sold in January 2025. 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%.

Sale Fall-Throughs

6,406 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 440,431 homes sale agreed (sold stc).

Another method is that week’s sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 23.7% (last week 22.5%). Still slightly below the 7-year average of 24.2%, but well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022).

For January ’25 as a whole, 6.03% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru in Jan 25. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%.

Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Throughs for the week)

20.6k net sales this week, compared to a typical week 4 average of 19.4k. Last week

Week 4 2025 – 21.3k. 18.4k is the weekly YTD 2025 average.

2025 YTD is 23% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 26% higher than YTD 2017/18/19.

UK House Prices (£/sq.ft)

As always, the £/sq.ft metric predicts Land Registry figures 5 months in advance with 92% accuracy (the orange line of the graph).

January’s final figure: £342/sq.ft.

December ’24 : £339/sq.ft

August ’24: £334/sq.ft

January ’24: £330/sq.ft

This means UK house prices have risen 3.64% in the last 12 months.

Local Focus – Eastbourne

 





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