What is currently happening in the UK property market? – London Wallet

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What is currently happening in the UK property market? – London Wallet


Welcome to the sixth UK Property Market Stats Show of 2025.

This week, I am joined by the awesome Iain White, as we delve into the key property market headlines for 6th week of 2025 ending on the 16th February 2025.

Listings (New Properties on the Market)

36.1k new listings this week (last week 36.5k)

That’s 9% higher than Week 6 of 2024 YTD and 10% higher YTD compared to 2017/18/19.

Price Reductions (% of Resi Stock)

21.3k Price Reductions this week – meaning an approx run rate of 1 in 8 of Resi Sales stock per month is being reduced (12%).

For comparison, 11.9% average in 2024, though the long-term 5-year average is 10.6%.

Total Gross Sales (Agreed Sales)

27.6k UK homes sold STC this week, up from 27k last week in Week 5

That’s 21% higher YTD compared to 2024 and 30% higher than 2017/18/19 YTD levels.

Sale-Through Rate (Monthly in Arrears)

January’s Run rate of 15% of Resi stock sold stc. For comparison,  13.9% of residential sales stock sold in January 2025. 2024 monthly average: 15.3%. Long-term 8-year average: 17.9%.

Sale Fall-Throughs

6,162 Sale fall-thrus last week from Resi Sale Sales Pipeline of 440,431 homes sale agreed (sold stc).

Another method is that week’s sale fall thrus as a % of gross sales that week. This week, that is 22.2% (last week 23.7%). Still slightly below the 7-year average of 24.2%, but well below the 40%+ levels post-Truss Budget (Autumn 2022).

For January ’25 as a whole, 6.03% of sales in the UK agents pipelines fell thru in Jan 25. For comparison, 2024 average: 5.36%.

Net Sales (Gross sales for the week less Sale Fall Thrus for the week)

21.4k net sales this week, compared 2025 weekly average of 20.7k. Last week

Week 5 2025 – 20.6k. 18.9k is the weekly YTD 2025 average.

2025 YTD is 19% higher than compared to 2024 YTD and 24% higher than YTD 2017/18/19.

Residential Sales Stock on the Market

660k properties on the market at the end of January 2025 (up, as expected, from 605k in December).

Historical comparison for end of January :

  • 2024: 612k
  • 2023: 525k
  • 2022: 373k
  • 2021: 538k
  • 2020: 591k
  • 2019: 614k
  • 2018: 540k
  • 2017: 525k

Residential Sales Sold STC Pipeline

440k sales agreed but not yet completed at the end of January 2025.

Historical comparison for January :

  • 2024: 354k
  • 2023: 347k
  • 2022: 447k
  • 2021: 459k
  • 2020: 308k
  • 2019: 290k
  • 2018: 282k
  • 2017: 270k.

UK House Prices (£/sq.ft)

As always, the £/sq.ft metric predicts Land Registry figures 5 months in advance with 92% accuracy (the orange line of the graph).

January’s final figure: £342/sq.ft.

  • December ’24 : £339/sq.ft
  • August ’24: £334/sq.ft
  • January ’24: £330/sq.ft

This means UK house prices have risen 3.64% in the last 12 months.

Local Focus this week – St.Albans

 

Why do larger estate agencies sell fewer homes per branch?

 





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