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Sir Keir Starmer could be forced out of Downing Street before the end of July, according to bombshell predictions from top investment bank Jefferies.
In a startling note to clients, analysts put the chances of the Prime Minister being ousted by summer at 60% — meaning the City believes it’s more likely than not that he won’t survive.
And the warning doesn’t stop there. The bank says Labour is set to lurch Left whether Starmer stays or goes.
“If Starmer stays, it is likely to be through concessions to the left-leaning camp of Labour.”
“If Starmer goes, he is likely to be replaced by a left-leaning candidate.”
The explosive forecast has sent shockwaves through Westminster, with critics claiming it underlines growing doubts about the PM’s authority and direction.
Market watchers say investors are increasingly focused on political stability — and what a leadership shake-up could mean for taxes, spending and economic policy.
They wrote, “If Starmer stays, it is likely to be through concessions to the left-leaning camp of Labour. If Starmer goes, he is likely to be replaced by a left-leaning candidate.”
Following a very turbulent time for Starmer last week the analyst said the Prime Minister who is clinging on to power has left them worried “about the fiscal picture in the UK”.
They added, “Unfortunately, we are at a stage where further tax rises are becoming counterproductive and would be a negative for growth. Spending cuts would also be negative for growth.”
Downing Street has yet to respond to the claims.
Is the clock ticking for Starmer? The City seems to think so.
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