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Ford warns Trump’s tariffs will cost $2.5 billion, withdraws 2025 guidance

Robert Frost by Robert Frost
May 5, 2025
in Industries
Ford warns Trump’s tariffs will cost .5 billion, withdraws 2025 guidance
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Ford-Q1-2025 earnings

Ford (F) reported its first-quarter earnings, beating Wall Street’s revenue and EPS expectations. However, with Trump’s auto tariffs, Ford is suspending full-year guidance. Here’s a breakdown of Ford’s Q1 2025 earnings

Ford Q1 2025 earnings preview

After crosstown rival General Motors cut its full-year financial guidance last week, investors are waiting to see if Ford will follow suit.

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Ford’s previous 2025 forecast called for EBIT of $7 billion to $8.5 billion and capital expenditures between $8 billion and $9 billion.

The biggest threat is Trump’s new auto tariffs, which include a 25% duty on imported vehicles and many parts. Since Ford builds a greater percentage of vehicles in the US than any other major automaker, outside of Tesla, it isn’t expected to see as big of an impact.

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CEO Jim Farley called it “an opportunity for Ford,” during an interview with CNN last week, saying the company has a “different footprint, a different exposure for tariffs.”

Ford imports around 21% of the vehicles it sells in the US, while GM imports around 46%. According to Estimize, Wall St expects Ford to post Q1 EPS of $0.0 on revenue of $38.02 billion.

The company reports earnings for each of its three business units, Ford Blue (gas-powered vehicles), Model e (electric vehicles), and Ford Pro (commercial and software business).

In the fourth quarter, Ford’s EV unit (Model e) lost another $1.4 billion while Pro and Blue each reported an adjusted EBIT of $1.6 billion.

Ford-Q1-2025-earnings
Ford Mustang Mach-E (left) and F-150 Lightning (right) (Source: Ford)

Financial breakdown

Ford beat Wall Street estimates, reporting first-quarter revenue of $40.7 billion with an adjusted EPS of 0.49.

  • Q1 2025 Revenue: $40.7 billion vs $38.02 billion expected.
  • Q1 2025 Adjusted EPS: $0.49 vs $0.0 expected.

The company posted adjusted EBIT of $1 billion, down 63% from Q1 2024. Ford said its first-quarter EBIT suffered a nearly $200 million hit from added tariff costs, primarily in Ford Blue and Ford Pro.

Ford Pro generated an EBIT of $1.3 billion, Ford Blue $96 million, and Ford Model e reported an EBIT loss of $849 million.

Ford-Q1-2025-Earnings-EVs
Ford Model e Q1 2025 earnings (Source: Ford)

For Model e, the company is focused on improving gross margins and “exercising a disciplined approach to investments in battery facilities and next-generation products.” Although still a nearly $1 billion loss, it’s still a $500 million improvement from Q1 2024.

Ford said higher Model e revenue was driven by new EVs launching in Europe, like the electric Explorer and Capri.

Ford-earnings-Q1-2025
Ford’s electric vehicles in Europe from left to right: Puma Gen-E, Explorer, Capri, and Mustang Mach-E (Source: Ford)

The company said its “Power Promise” promotion, which includes a free home charger and several other benefits, has helped drive demand in the US.

Although it’s tracking within its previous full-year adjusted EBIT guidance of between $7 billion and $8.5 billion, Ford is suspending full-year guidance due to the uncertainty surrounding tariffs.

Ford-EV-project
2025 Ford Mustang Mach-E (Source: Ford)

Ford estimates the full-year gross cost of tariffs to be around $2.5 billion. It expects a tariff-related net adverse adjusted EBIT impact of about $1.5 billion for the full year 2025.

Ford also extended its “From America, For America” campaign last week. The promo includes employee pricing on most 2024 and 2025 models and now runs through July 4.

Check back for more info from Ford’s first quarter conference call. Ford is also hosting its annual meeting on Thursday, May 8, where we should learn more about its EV plans and how it will navigate the new tariffs.

FTC: We use income earning auto affiliate links. More.

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